Forecast of Near-Term Influenza Activity

Earlier this year, I made disease predictions based on the current Five Movements and Six Qi (Yun Qi) cycle. According to the prevailing energetic patterns, the period from November 12, 2019, to January 20, 2020, falls within the Terminal Qi of the Jihai year — characterized by Lesser Yang Ministerial Fire overlaying Greater Yang Cold Water. Water and fire stand in opposition, while fire and earth are in harmony. This configuration gives rise to warm pestilence, suggesting the potential spread of heat-type febrile diseases.

After detailed calculation, high-intensity influenza activity is unlikely in November. However, an epidemic of heat-type illness may emerge from south to north beginning in mid-to-late December, presenting with high fever, sore throat, diarrhea, and hemorrhagic manifestations. It will gradually weaken after mid-January, and no further large-scale outbreaks are expected.

In summary, this quarter should not see the kind of large-scale, high-intensity influenza activity experienced last year. Colds this season will primarily manifest with heat signs, so the therapeutic approach should emphasize soothing the Liver, clearing Heat, and relieving the Exterior, while concurrently strengthening the Spleen. Should a pestilence occur, detoxification takes priority, with Spleen fortification as a secondary measure. Above all, remember: protecting the Central Earth is of paramount importance.

我已于上半年做出今年的疾病预测，根据现在的运气情况，2019-11-12到2020-01-20处于己亥年的终之气，属于少阳相火加临太阳寒水，水火为逆，火土相得，会发生温厉，表明可能会发生热性病的传播。

经过详细测算，11月不会发生高强度流感活动，12月中下旬开始可能会从南向北出现热病的流行，表现为高热、咽痛、腹泻、出血，至1月中旬后逐步减弱，不会再发生疾病的大规模流行。

总的来说，本季度应该不会发生去年那样大规模高强度的流感活动，本季度的感冒主要表现为热象，应当疏肝清热解表，兼以健脾。如若发生瘟疫，应当解毒为主，健脾为辅，切记顾护中土为要。